CONFERENCE 2 - Global trends and how they will influence the future

What are the top trends facing the world in 2015? By exploring the challenges we face today, together we can progress towards our future.

In the coming year, we face a number of diverse and significant challenges: growing income inequality, heightened geo-strategic tensions, the unsustainable use of our planet’s natural resources and, of course, the climate crisis.

Every year the World Economic Forum taps into the knowledge, observations and experiences of its Global Agenda Council Members, asking them to identify the issues that they believe will have the biggest impact on the world over the coming 12 to 18 months. The resulting insights, gathered with the help of the Survey on the Global Agenda, ultimately generate the Top 10 Trends - a forecast of the social, economic and political flash points that reside on our collective horizon.

 
 

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As the world’s rich continue to accumulate wealth at record rates, the middle class is struggling.

 

 

At the top of this year’s list is worsening income inequality. As the world’s rich continue to accumulate wealth at record rates, the middle class is struggling. Today, the top 1% of the population receives a quarter of the income in the United States. Over the last twenty-five years, the average income of the top 0.1% has grown twenty times compared to that of the average citizen. Last year, this trend ranked second place in the Outlook; this year, it rises to the top.

On-going unemployment concerns, another recurring theme from the previous report, have risen to second place - this time in the form of “Persistent jobless growth.” Our economies may be growing, but the number of available jobs is largely failing to keep pace. For many, the situation is urgent, and popular dissatisfaction at governmental response is reflected in two subsequent trends - ‘lack of leadership’ and ‘the weakening of representative democracy’, both of which suggest a troubling disconnect between the public and the authorities who govern them.

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We are at a critical fork in the road, a period of decision that will dictate the health and viability of our civilization for decades to come.

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Third on the list, rising security concerns around the world threaten the stability of states and their citizens. From renewed violence in Gaza to Russia’s intervention in the Ukraine and the rise of ISIS, geopolitical tensions have dominated headlines for much of 2014. Dedicated efforts are being taken to diffuse these conflicts, yet it seems all but certain that two related trends, ‘Rising geo-strategic competition’ and ‘Intensifying nationalism’, will continue to propel global concerns over the next 18 months.

 
 

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Long-term economic prosperity depends on environmental sustainability.

 

 

This year, two major concerns dominate this list, economic and environmental. These two areas of focus are inextricably linked. Long-term economic prosperity depends on environmental sustainability. Today, we see the consequences of short-term economic thinking and the reckless use of our planet’s resources: water disputes between neighbouring nations, more frequent and powerful extreme weather events brought on by our warming climate, an on-going global deforestation crisis, a rapidly acidifying ocean, eroding topsoil and agricultural capacity, and an alarming biodiversity crisis unparalleled in modern history.

Now, more than ever before, environmental concerns are coming to the forefront of our global dialogue. We are at a critical fork in the road, a period of decision that will dictate the health and viability of our civilisation for decades to come. Next December, the nations of the world will gather in Paris to negotiate the next global climate agreement. The stakes could not be higher, but I have hope.

To reiterate, the issues we must confront are imposing in their scale and expansive in their reach, but they must be faced with fortitude and with a co-operative, collaborative spirit. The pages that follow contain discussions that highlight the threats - and the opportunities - that dwell at the heart of our Top 10 Trends, and explore some of the directions for progress. By acknowledging the issues we face today, we can begin to understand those that may yet lie ahead.

Emerging issues

Never has the future seemed so full of promise, possibility and uncertainty. From bio-technologies that may redesign our very existence to the new frontiers of nuclear power and deep sea mining, we speak with Global Agenda Council Members about the issues that are now visible on our horizons.

Mapping the future

The world is changing at an unprecedented rate, driven by technical innovation and new ways of thinking that will fundamentally transform the way we live. As we move away from the old structures and processes that shaped our past, our experts reveal the opportunities that await us.

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List of speakers

Keynote Speaker and Trainer,

Filipe Carrera is keynote speaker and a trainer with a big experience in the business and academic world, that enables him to create a unique and fun learning experience. He did hundreds of presentations in English, Spanish and Portuguese in about 50 countries, in 4 continents, helping thousands of people and organizations to win in more global and social world. He was awarded “Most Outstanding Trainer in Europe” and “Most Outstanding Trainer in the World” by JCI. Author of the books “Digital Marketing: Version 2.0” (available in Portuguese), “Networking – Your Professional Survival Guide” (available in Portuguese, English, Spanish, Romanian and Mongolian) and "Communicate 2.0 – The Art of Communicating in the 21st Century" (available in Portuguese, English and Spanish)

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Global CEO , Kilpatrick ™

A Graduate in Economics from the Netherlands, Jacob started his career initially in ING, later joined Hotelplan and then joined the European full service HR organization Start People for over ten years. His main areas of expertise have been business development and general management having managed businesses in Italy, Greece, Portugal, Romania and the Netherlands. Jacob has had extensive experience in commercial negotiations, start ups of new companies in various countries with both private and (semi) public sectors. In 2003, he took over the Italian executive search firm Kilpatrick and immediately affiliated the company to a global network IESF and built up the business regionally to become a leading player in the international searches for both Italian clients abroad and Multinationals trying to define key players in Italy. In February 2006 the firm opened their first foreign branche in Romania (Timisoara and Bucharest) and later in the Netherlands. Kilpatrick has really become an integrated part of the global network and Jacob and his team continue their aggressive and successful development of the business. Today Kilpatrick has 15 international hubs and serve their clients in 30+ countries. Jacob has built a reputation with both clients and candidates that are based on superior communication and project results that exceed expectations. Working at the highest levels, he has successfully built teams for early-stage clients as well as reinvigorated established organizations with new talent. Jacob's specialty is to manage the cultural differences aiming at the best possible return on investment for both company and executive. His commitment to excellence, combined with extensive in depth industry knowledge, has been the driving force behind Kilpatrick's development. Jacob is nowadays is the Global CEO of the Kilpatrick Group to whom belong Kilpatrick Executive Search, Kilpatrick Solutions, ADK International and Gemini Executive Search and employes roughly 70 professionals between Singapore and Miami : a pocket sized multinational !

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CEO and FOUNDER, EXMC

Klaus Hoffbeck is one of the leading experts in negotiation techniques/dispute resolution, body language and influence and is an experienced and sought-after lecturer nationally and internationally. He has over the years taught thousands of business people as well as been used in the media and national television as a commentator on in particular politicians' body language and credibility. Mikkel Gudsøe also works as chief attorney in Commercial Law, IPR & Mediation in the trade organization Danish Fashion and Textile. He is a lecturer in Legal Negotiation at Aarhus University and a trained mediator (and responsible for the institution: DM & T Mediation). Mikkel Gudsøe has a Master in Psychology and graduated Master of Non-verbal Behavior of former FBI Special Agent specializing in body language Joe Navarro. Mikkel Gudsøe teaches multiple models, of which Harvard Principled Negotiation is the foundation, which is seasoned with several of Mikkel Gudsøes own models and tools for understanding and preparing for negotiations - including 4-D negotiation, Positive-Negative-Positive model Negotiate-O-meter and Tricks-O-meter, SET-model as well of other proven methods for enhancing influence, leadership and business. Mikkel Gudsøe has held numerous master classes around the world and as examples hereof: Master Class lectures ("Body language, verbal leaks and clues of deception in negotiation") at Bern University - World Trade Institute 3 times, and Queen's University, Belfast, Northern Ireland, Master Class lectures ("4-D Negotiation & Persuasion") Bond University in Australia, Master Class lectures ("Preparing Negotiations") at the John Marshall Law School in Chicago, USA. Further he has acted and acts as judge, mediator and coach at various highly professional business oriented competitions such as the International Negotiation Competition, Global Negotiation Competition (coached the winning team 2 years in a row – 2014, 2015) at Bern University – World Trade Institute and the International Commercial Mediation Competition at the International Chamber of Commerce in Paris.

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International Managing Director , Thomas International

As Global Training Director, Rod’s remit is to help Thomas' clients use our assessments to transform the performance of their people and ultimately their business. He works with Thomas’ global network of distributors to help clients recruit, retain, develop and lead high performance teams and individuals. Additionally, Rod trains clients all over the world, from large corporates to the smallest businesses. He is often seen at events, on TV and in the media demonstrating the power that people assessments can bring to any organization. Having joined Thomas in 1999, Rod quickly became one of the company’s most successful sales consultants. In 2000, he was awarded Thomas International’s Best Newcomer Trophy (UK). In 2005, Rod took on a new challenge as London’s Regional Director, and quickly put together a dynamic team working with him out of the newly refurbished London Office. Since January 2008, Rod has been growing Thomas International’s global presence, helping Thomas distributors all over the world grow and support their client base. Rod Cornwell in 3 words: dynamic, charismatic and positive!

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COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR & FOUNDER, EXMC

Mikkel Gudsøe is an expert in negotiation techniques, body language and conflict and an experienced and sought-after lecturer nationally and internationally. Sitting also as Chief Attorney Trade Law, IPR & Mediation, with the trade organization Danish Fashion and Textile in which 320 Danish companies assisted in national and international conflicts and negotiations, lecturer in Legal Negotiation and previously in the International Negotiation Competition (INC) at Aarhus University and trained mediator (and responsible for the institution: DM & T Mediation). Owner company MDR Group - Modern Dispute Resolution Ltd., mdrg.dk. Mikkel Gudsøe teach every year businesses, organizations, municipalities, etc. in negotiation, conflict resolution and niche area body language include Service improvement in retail, management of customers, empathy, partners, etc. Mikkel Gudsøe have on the academic level, in particular held brown bag seminar in body language at Bern University - World Trade Institute in April 2013, Master Class lecture ("Body language, verbal leaks and clues of deception in negotiation") by INC 2012 Queen's University, Belfast, Northern Ireland, and has been Master Class lectures ("4-D Negotiation & Persuasion") and Negotiation Coach by INC 2010 at Bond University in Australia, Master Class lectures ("Preparing Negotiations") and Judge of the INC in 2009 at John Marshall Law School in Chicago, USA and judge and mediator at the International Commercial Mediation Competition 2009, 2010, 2012 and 2013 by the International Chamber of Commerce, Paris. Furthermore, Mikkel Gudsøe assigned the responsibility to fully master class at the International Negotiation Competition at Chapman Law School in California in July 2013 in the subject of "E-negotiations"

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General Director, Opportunity Microcredit România

S-P O’Mahony has extensive experience in the field of international relations, foreign capital investment and regional development, as well as being a marketing and sales professional. During his career he has contributed to the activity of international institutions such as British Airways, Malév and the Embassy of Ireland in Romania. He is at home in the field of regional social development, and is the General Director and Vice President of the Board of Directors of Opportunity Microcredit Romania, as well as working with GoodBrand, a consultancy specialised in developing corporate social strategy.

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Founder and CEO, SLG Thomas International AB

Since 1971, Per Falck is selling, growing businesses and motorbiking around Europe! After working for big companies like Electrolux and IKEA, he decided to set up his own business, SLG International. In 1990 he gained the rights for Thomas International in more European countries and in 1998, together with Sorina Bradea and Carmen Sasu, he established the Thomas business in Romania. Now, SLG is present in Azerbaijan, Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Hungary, Latvia, Kazakhstan, Macedonia, Poland, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Slovenia, Sweden and Ukraine. Per is still passionate by sales and organisational development and he is working for companies like IKEA, Volvo, Scania, Swedish Retail Trade, doing Service management, sales management, individual, team and organisational development. The words that best describe Per are action, results and friendship

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Moderators

Founder and Coordinator, Business Days Project

Laszlo Pacso is the creator and coordinator of the Business Days project, with an experience of more than 16 years in sales and bargaining, and in managing and coordinating entrepreneurial projects. He founded a mobile telecommunications company from scratch, he coordinated its rebranding project, the market repositioning and integration in the structure of the group of companies of a large pharmaceutical one. He is also the founder of JCI Targu Mures and had a significant contribution to the dynamization of the business environment in Targu Mures by organizing more than 20 events dedicated to the business environment in one year, by promoting the investitional and touristic potential.

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